0.7%
Jeffery Sachs asks in his latest book Common Wealth "How generous should [we] be?" With the news yesterday that the Harper government of Canada is changing how it delivers our official development assistance (ODA) to be more focused on certain countries (and eliminating countries officially from the list) it is feared by some that the current financial crisis that is rocking the world right now is going to be a set back to the already meager efforts made by the developed world in the area of foreign aid. This is a cyclical concern that has wracked the development community: that every time we hit a recession we take two steps back away from helping the less fortunate parts of the world. The environment has also been traditionally a casualty of economic woes as commitments and spending from governments are backed away from in the face of less money and political capital. But we are in the midst of the strongest phase of the environmental movement since it's inception in the late 60s as the case has been finally made to the public that we are at a point of no return when it comes to changing our interaction with the physical world and that it is intrinsically linked to our economic security and cannot be sacrificed for short term concerns. The election of a highly progressive environmentally thoughtful President (we hope) in the US is also bolstering the idea that we won't take those two-steps back from the environment as we have in the past. But what about development?
Sachs has worked harder than any other high profile academic in the last ten years at convincing the world that turning a blind eye to African development is akin to a worldwide suicide. He has enlisted the help of celebrities and academics and some of the most powerful politicians in the world in his efforts and has written 2 books this decade making the case that ending the "poverty trap", as he calls it, in Africa is the only way to move forward collectively in peaceful environmental and economic security. The small amount of money relative to the developed world's GNP that has been spent on African assistance has been misdirected and too little. But more importantly the case has not been made to the average citizen of countries like the US, Germany, France and Canada that we face a century of wasted efforts and a rapidly increasing array of catastropohic developments in Africa due to unchecked population growth, disease, environmental degradation and little or no agriculture, health, education and infrastructure related developments. The conflicts that have arisen that threaten the continent (Darfur, Congo, Liberia, Rwanda, Eritria, Zimbabwe, Nigeria to name a few) can be traced more and more at their roots to yes, the colonial legacy, but also to the lack of life basics that are getting harder and harder to provide in the face of a degrading environment.
Dwindling quality water resources, desertification, and deforestation are all linked, especially in Africa to an exploding population that relies almost exclusively on the land to survive on mainly a subsidence level. Meaning that most of African farm life is geared toward the production of food for one's self and family, not for resale, and except for cash crops such as some legumes and coffees for instance, rarely for export. If you can't trade with other countries you can't make money. If you can't make money you can't invest in your country. If you can't invest in your country then it's people are left to fend for themselves- a perfect vicious circle. Along the way the resources you depend on are dwindling. You have to have more more children to ensure your security when you get older as their is no health care to take care of them in case they get sick. So you play the odds that if you have 6 kids at least 2 or 3- one for sure being a son- will live with you to old age to keep the family plot going. The inputs that are necessary to run a small holder farm are inefficient and rely on what you have around you. New seed varieties, nitrogen rich fertilizer and efficient irrigation are WAY out of the reach of a farmer with no money. So you turn to the land, and the land turns on you with insufficient nutrients and water and blows away in the wind. So what do you do? You move. Maybe to another area within your country, maybe outside of your tribe. And so do your neighbours into another part of the country who want nothing to do with you coming there and taking their last remaining precious resource-water and land. So you fight. The government just wants to keep power so they play one group off another. Maybe funnel weapons into the hands of the strongest and a war has begun. What started as a migration for food turns into an ethnic conflict.
Mixed in for good measure is the fact that this part of the world exists in an area that makes it harder to fight disease. There is more of it and it's more lethal. With no money for health or infrastructure, you have a scenario that equals death stalking the land and taking your youngest and brightest. Those who are left can't be educated because there are no schools and anyway you have to stay on the farm. Without intellectual capital in your country, those that are in power are left with very little internal resources to escape from the "poverty trap". They rely almost solely on the wealth and expertise of the developed world. The exceptions to this are small. Ghana, Kenya, Botswana, Nigeria and South Africa have all been able to move up the development ladder, although not very high, with a great deal of resources from within their nations. But there are exceptions within these exceptions-geography, for example.- the proximity to the ocean and trading routes, natural endowments (oil). Did you know that there is not one transcontinental railroad in Africa? If one country wants to trade with another how can it? India, through its unique colonial legacy was able to utilize the tracks laid by the British to get cotton out and to the British mills to move grain and agricultural products (see Green Revolution) within and out of it's country which helped it get on the development track that has seen it hop up the ladder in the last 30 years.
So unfortunately, and also basically, what this means is the vast majority of countries in Africa need money. They need it for investment in it's people and it's land and to get them feeding themselves in a way that is not detrimental to the environment and stops the permanent migration which would lesson the conflicts. They need it to start educating themselves-the continent has one of the highest proportion of youth within it's populations. Idle hands create tension and are always poised without an educated mind to be manipulated by the powers that be to secure their authority and power. An enormous uneducated youth is an army in waiting, and violence and death's messenger. They need it to be healthy. So they don't have to have 6 kids hoping that they survive cholera, malaria, AIDS, typhoid, influenza, fuck the common cold!! If you have less mouths to feed and the ones you do have are healthy, it's cheaper for them to go to school and cheaper for you to run the farm. They need it to get a piece of the Green Revolution pie that helped a good deal of Asia. Better seeds, bore holes, cheap irrigation, better fertilizer. This stuff is CHEAP for us, and can change their world in a heartbeat of time (see Millennium Village projects). They need it to build, rails, roads and get the Internet. Once you start making better food and more of it, you can trade it. To get that food out you need the stuff to move it. This is where the money starts to stay home, and the hat in hand starts to stop. Money starts to flow into a country that is healthier and educated, less susceptible to crooks in government and starts demanding things like of elections, transparency and social safety nets. Once investments in people began, people will invest in the country. Taxes can be collected to build the things that businesses need, factories, technology, research facilities, capital projects. People will want to INVEST in Africa. When we give more money to the continent it will start to make money for the world. Competition is the heart of democratic capitalism. If we have a healthy, secure, environmentally conscious player with the size and heart of Africa, the world will change.
So what does this cost? 0.7%. I'll say it again, .7 of our TOTAL GNP. Let's do some mathemetizing. A 0.7% commitment would be roughly $9billion Dollars. Divided by our population that's $272 each. Now the freaky part. How much is that a day each-$0.70. Yep 70 cents a day. Now this money already comes out of your taxes. People aren't going to show up at your door and ask you for this. A $272 dollar tax increased phase in over 4 years is a blip in our radar. But the cool part of the math is, that if we spend more now, we'll spend WAY less if we don't increase our ODA now. To get the motor going in Africa we have to prime the pumps. But once the engine gets going, and from what guys like Sachs are saying that could happen as early as 2015 we can start turning down the taps. From what I have read, If we continue on our current way of spending our money on foreign aid, we're looking at 2050 before we see improvements in Africa. That's too late for the environment, too late for millions of Africans, and far too much money. If you multiply our current commitment of $4.6billion a year for 40 years to 2050 that's $184billion. Now if we take the $9billion a year and only have to spend it until 2015 and then we start turning down the taps that's about $45 billion. Easy math. But this has to happen in concert with other countries. The US, France, Germany, the UK, Japan, Russia and China, all have to start getting on board for this to really work.
Of course the way the money has been spent has to be changed and their are models and countries and projects that are out there that can be used. There are amazing organizations out there that if there funding was doubled they would start to tackle these problems like gangbusters.
The 0.7% commitment is by no means new. It has been bandied about since the mid 90s. But the crazy thing is that this has already been commit ed to by all these countries time and time again. We're really good at making commitments in the West but fucking lousy on our follow-through. The politics behind this needs to stop. Out of all the visionary things that governments are thinking of doing to re-invigorate the world's economy this is a no-brainer. We can't leave Africa behind in the next great leap forward. The year 2015 is the year we said we would reach that target. It's not too late. But cutbacks cannot be on the agenda. Listening to arguments made by Sachs as to why it's in our best interest to make this commitment is non-negotiable in my books.
If you have some time to kill and want ot know more, really the best place to start is with Sachs. Just go to the Common Wealth link at the top.
This will be my mission this year as the band chugs along in our travels to try and make this case to folks.
Cheers